Mistrust and self belief could end up as Raila’s waterloo

This election was for Raila to lose but he shot himself in the foot by mismanaging the handshake aftermath.

Yes, the dynamic duo played Raila. The Enigma’s self-belief deceived him to allow Ruto to succeed in playing victim of the system he’s the second in command.

It’s only happened in Kenya where a defiant Deputy President remains on payroll and the opponent trusts that the president is genuine.

Smart Game

The game was so smart that Raila was recruited to play in the defence of the system that he’s not part of.

He prevented the system player (Ruto) from scoring own goals as he ring-fenced Jubilee strongholds and made in-roads in NASA bastions.

That’s why Raila won back former NASA strongholds but with narrow margins. He lost Bungoma and Trans Nzoia counties due to the Wetangula factor.

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Elephant in the Room

We warned that the elephant in the room for Raila was IEBC. Chebukati wouldn’t be trusted to declare Raila the victor under too close to call tie.

The Commission would try all tricks in the book to teach Raila a lesson. Bring in the Venezuelans saga.

The 17 rolls carried IEBC stickers to fit on KIEMS kits, specific to identify voters and transmit results for 1.2 million voters in 10,000 polling stations in 10 populous counties.

10 populous counties

(Nairobi, Kiambu, Meru, Nyandarua, Nyeri, Tharaka-Nithi, Murang’a, Nakuru, Bomet and Kericho).

The 10,000 bonus votes Ruto had received in Kiambu Township constituency was a tip of the iceberg on what happened in the Mountain.

Raila had fake agents in the region. They were on Raila’s payroll but compromised to look the other way.

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10, 000 bonus votes

That explains why it’s the hawk-eyed journalists who discovered the 10,000 bonus votes. We can’t rule out the Venezuelans effect.

Chebukati condemned their arrests. Ruto supported him. The DCI raised 11 questions for IEBC to answer.

IEBC went silent. Smartmatic remained mum on its alleged employees. Ruto castigated DCI Kinoti in public, hurling epithets.

Abdulahi Abdi Mohamed

Nobody came to the spy’s defense except his kin from his ancestral home. The role of Abdulahi Abdi Mohamed remained a mystery.

A Mr. Wachanga Mugo expected to receive the stickers was just mentioned as one of two people who accessed the 2017 computer servers using Chebukati’s password.

Chebukati met with the Inspector General and announced that the Venezuelans saga had been resolved without details.

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Conduct of Ruto

The conduct of Ruto especially hurling insults at civil servants was not without permission from his boss.

Remember what befell the Vice-Chancelor of Kenyatta University when he appeared to contradict the president. Ruto is no god to go scot free with all the insults directed, even, at the president himself.

Ruto remained part of the system but turned Raila into a villain to absorb shocks in the system. Atwoli is Raila’s friend but lacked intellect to discover that Uhuru (another friend from KANU days) couldn’t be trusted in the succession matrix.

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